Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-31 · 02:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-31. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 3.98, Chicago Cubs 4.51. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 56%, New York Yankees 44%. Projected total runs: 8.49.
New York Yankees
4.0
Predicted runs
44% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.5
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.