Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs
2026-08-02 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-08-02. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.28, Chicago Cubs 3.91. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 46%, New York Yankees 54%. Projected total runs: 8.19.
New York Yankees
4.3
Predicted runs
54% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.9
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.