Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MLB / Games
New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-09-19 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-09-19. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.35, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.75. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 45%, New York Yankees 55%. Projected total runs: 10.1.
New York Yankees
5.3
Predicted runs
55% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.8
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.