Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-06-09 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-06-09. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.05, Cleveland Guardians 3.42. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 43%, New York Yankees 57%. Projected total runs: 7.48.
New York Yankees
4.0
Predicted runs
57% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.4
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.