Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ New York Mets
2026-05-15 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-05-15. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.69, New York Mets 4.23. Model win probability: New York Mets 46%, New York Yankees 54%. Projected total runs: 8.92.
New York Yankees
4.7
Predicted runs
54% to win
New York Mets
4.2
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.