Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.19, Washington Nationals 3.9. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 38%, New York Yankees 62%. Projected total runs: 9.09.

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.