Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-11 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-11. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 6.17, Baltimore Orioles 5.18. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 43%, New York Yankees 57%. Projected total runs: 11.34.
New York Yankees
6.2
Predicted runs
57% to win
Baltimore Orioles
5.2
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 11.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.