Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-12 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.98, Baltimore Orioles 4.76. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 40%, New York Yankees 60%. Projected total runs: 10.75.
New York Yankees
6.0
Predicted runs
60% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.8
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.