Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-13 · 01:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.7, Baltimore Orioles 4.67. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 42%, New York Yankees 58%. Projected total runs: 10.37.
New York Yankees
5.7
Predicted runs
58% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.7
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.