Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-08-18 · 06:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-08-18. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.55, Baltimore Orioles 4.54. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 51%, New York Yankees 49%. Projected total runs: 9.09.
New York Yankees
4.5
Predicted runs
49% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.5
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.