Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-08-20 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-08-20. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.36, Baltimore Orioles 5.22. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 50%, New York Yankees 50%. Projected total runs: 10.57.
New York Yankees
5.4
Predicted runs
50% to win
Baltimore Orioles
5.2
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 10.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
