Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres
2026-09-04 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-09-04. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.69, San Diego Padres 3.78. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 32%, New York Yankees 68%. Projected total runs: 9.48.
New York Yankees
5.7
Predicted runs
68% to win
San Diego Padres
3.8
Predicted runs
32% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
