Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-07-24 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-07-24. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.27, Philadelphia Phillies 3.52. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 43%, New York Yankees 57%. Projected total runs: 7.79. Final score: New York Yankees 1, Philadelphia Phillies 0.
New York Yankees
1
Final
Predicted 4.3
57% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
0
Final
Predicted 3.5
43% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.