Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-07-26 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-07-26. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.45, Philadelphia Phillies 4.35. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 52%, New York Yankees 48%. Projected total runs: 8.79.
New York Yankees
4.5
Predicted runs
48% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.3
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.