Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-07-06 · 06:40 PM ET · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-07-06. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 3.94, Tampa Bay Rays 3.18. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 41%, New York Yankees 59%. Projected total runs: 7.13.
New York Yankees
3.9
Predicted runs
59% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
3.2
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 7.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.