Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-07-08 · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-07-08. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 3.83, Tampa Bay Rays 3.39. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 45%, New York Yankees 55%. Projected total runs: 7.23.
New York Yankees
3.8
Predicted runs
55% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
3.4
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
