Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
2026-04-23 · 06:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-04-23. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 6.64, Boston Red Sox 3.22. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 22%, New York Yankees 78%. Projected total runs: 9.86.
New York Yankees
6.6
Predicted runs
78% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.2
Predicted runs
22% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.