Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-25 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-25. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.88, Boston Red Sox 3.2. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 27%, New York Yankees 73%. Projected total runs: 9.08.
New York Yankees
5.9
Predicted runs
73% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.2
Predicted runs
27% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.