Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-26 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-26. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 5.42, Boston Red Sox 4.17. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 39%, New York Yankees 61%. Projected total runs: 9.59.
New York Yankees
5.4
Predicted runs
61% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.2
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
