Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-27 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-27. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.72, Boston Red Sox 3.79. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 41%, New York Yankees 59%. Projected total runs: 8.51.
New York Yankees
4.7
Predicted runs
59% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.8
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.