Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-28 · 07:20 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.05, Boston Red Sox 4.03. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 52%, New York Yankees 48%. Projected total runs: 8.08.
New York Yankees
4.0
Predicted runs
48% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.