Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-25 · 03:40 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-25. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.68, Kansas City Royals 4.22. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 46%, New York Yankees 54%. Projected total runs: 8.89.
New York Yankees
4.7
Predicted runs
54% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.2
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.