Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 10:14 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox

2026-07-28 · Rate Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on 2026-07-28. Predicted final score: New York Yankees 4.16, Chicago White Sox 4.01. Model win probability: Chicago White Sox 50%, New York Yankees 50%. Projected total runs: 8.17.

New York Yankees
4.2
Predicted runs
50% to win
Chicago White Sox
4.0
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.