ANTHONY KAY

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ANTHONY

KAY

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sweeper28%83 mph

4-Seam18%96 mph

Changeup16%86 mph

Cutter15%92 mph

Sinker15%95 mph

Slider9%87 mph

Matchup

VS TOR LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

92

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.91

WHIP

1.24

K%

20%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	24%	25%
SwStr%	10.8%	11%
Chase%	30%	28%
xwOBA-a	.313	.315
Barrel%-a	8%	8%
HardHit%-a	31%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.6

K/GM

4.6

IP/GM

3.91

ERA

1.26

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

20% season K rate

Contact Suppression

8% barrel · 31% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 3.91 ERA · 18% K

5

5

3

4

7

2

8

2

2

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TOR—

Tonight's Park

HR

0%

Hits

-2%

2B

+9%

3B

-31%

K

-1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:55 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.