ANTHONY KAY

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

ANTHONY

KAY

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sweeper23%83 mph

4-Seam21%96 mph

Cutter20%93 mph

Sinker14%96 mph

Changeup12%87 mph

Slider10%87 mph

Matchup

VS HOU LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

66

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.63

WHIP

1.21

K%

19%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	10.9%	11%
Chase%	30%	28%
xwOBA-a	.354	.315
Barrel%-a	12%	8%
HardHit%-a	40%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.2

K/GM

5.7

IP/GM

3.49

ERA

1.27

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

19% season K rate

Contact Suppression

12% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 3.49 ERA · 17% K

2

4

5

4

7

3

4

4

6

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs HOU—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

0%

2B

-4%

3B

-14%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

92°

Wind

10 126°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+3%

K Adj

-3%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.