Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Austin Riley
Atlanta Braves · Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves
MG Score
54
C-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Kevin Gausman · RHP
ERA
2.84
WHIP
1.14
K%
22%
Velo
90.9
Whiff%
9%
xwOBA-a
.415
Career vs Kevin Gausman: 6 PA · Low sample
AB
6
AVG
.666
OPS
1.833
HR
1
H
4
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
92.0
Barrel%
24.1%
Hard Hit%
47%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.439
xSLG
0.681
Recent Games
Last 5
0%
0/5 games
Last 10
30%
3/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
48%
11/23 games
AVG
.188
OBP
.278
SLG
.250
OPS
.528
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Cincinnati Reds | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Boston Red Sox | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Boston Red Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Washington Nationals | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Austin Riley
Atlanta Braves · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
93.1 mph
Avg LA
15.9°
Hard-hit %
51%
Barrel %
23%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
7Triple
0Double
7Single
19Out
67Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.