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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Ben Rice

New York Yankees · Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees

MG Score
75
B+

Tonight's Matchup

vs Joey Cantillo · LHP
ERA
3.20
WHIP
1.30
K%
16%
Velo
84.0
Whiff%
8%
xwOBA-a
.533
Career vs Joey Cantillo: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
90.2
Barrel%
21.4%
Hard Hit%
44%
Sweet Spot%
44%
xwOBA
0.416
xSLG
0.642

Recent Games

Last 5
100%
5/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
64%
14/22 games
AVG
.341
OBP
.400
SLG
.610
OPS
1.010
HR
1
RBI
11
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Athletics5204010
5/30Athletics3101220
5/29Athletics5412000
5/27Kansas City Royals4203100
5/26Kansas City Royals5301110
5/25Kansas City Royals4000000
5/24Tampa Bay Rays3000000
5/22Tampa Bay Rays4100000
5/21Toronto Blue Jays4100020
5/20Toronto Blue Jays4000010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Ben Rice
New York Yankees · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.9 mph
Avg LA
14.8°
Hard-hit %
49%
Barrel %
23%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
12
Triple
1
Double
6
Single
18
Out
63
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.