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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
BEN WILLIAMSON
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Ben Williamson
BEN
WILLIAMSON
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo88.3Barrel%0%Hard Hit%33%xwOBA.108Sweet Spot%33%Whiff%17%Chase%25%
Matchup
VS Max Fried · LHP
86.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
1
Terrible
VS
ERA
2.28
WHIP
1.01
K%
29%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo88.383.5
Barrel%0%4%
Hard Hit%33%22%
xwOBA.108.289
xSLG.144.415
Whiff%17%24%
Chase%25%36%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Fried0
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
63°
Wind
10 72°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-20%
K Adj
+3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:09 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game