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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Ben Williamson

Tampa Bay Rays · Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays · in lineup

MG Score
45
D

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
91.3
Barrel%
3.6%
Hard Hit%
54%
Sweet Spot%
32%
xwOBA
0.357
xSLG
0.495

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
53%
16/30 games
AVG
.333
OBP
.448
SLG
.375
OPS
.823
HR
0
RBI
4
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/29Los Angeles Angels2100010
5/15Miami Marlins1000010
5/13Toronto Blue Jays1101001
5/12Toronto Blue Jays4100110
5/11Toronto Blue Jays0000000
5/10Boston Red Sox2101200
5/8Boston Red Sox3000000
5/7Boston Red Sox4201100
5/6Toronto Blue Jays3000110
5/5Toronto Blue Jays4201010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Ben Williamson
Tampa Bay Rays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.6 mph
Avg LA
4.4°
Hard-hit %
41%
Barrel %
9%
Outcomes (85 balls)
Home Run
0
Triple
1
Double
6
Single
21
Out
57
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.