Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
BILLY COOK
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BILLY
COOK
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Patrick Sandoval · LHP
88.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
28
VS
ERA
3.30
WHIP
1.70
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.4 | 85.4 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA | .325 | .377 |
| xSLG | .444 | .533 |
| Whiff% | 30% | 22% |
| Chase% | 35% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.4 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Sandoval—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+12%
3B
-23%
K
-4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
8 249°
Rain
20%
HR Adj
+7%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 5:01 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game