BLAKE SNELL

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

BLAKE

SNELL

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam54%96 mph

Curveball24%81 mph

Matchup

VS COL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

64

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

5.00

WHIP

1.33

K%

38%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	28%	25%
SwStr%	13.1%	11%
Chase%	43%	28%
xwOBA-a	.301	.315
Barrel%-a	9%	8%
HardHit%-a	9%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

7.5

K/GM

4.5

IP/GM

5.00

ERA

1.33

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

38% season K rate

Contact Suppression

9% barrel · 9% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 2 starts

0 of 2 starts over

Last 5: 5.00 ERA · 38% K

5

10

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs COL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+7%

Hits

+16%

2B

+17%

3B

+103%

K

-8%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

88°

Wind

13 136°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+22%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:43 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.