Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
BRADEN MONTGOMERY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BRADEN
MONTGOMERY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
61
Grade C+
Matchup
VS Bubba Chandler · RHP
95.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
52
VS
ERA
3.75
WHIP
1.33
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.5 | 88.0 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 16% |
| Hard Hit% | 39% | 43% |
| xwOBA | .380 | .338 |
| xSLG | .548 | .485 |
| Whiff% | 25% | 11% |
| Chase% | 21% | 24% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.5 avg EV · 9.5% barrel · 39% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Chandler—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
9 195°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-8%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 4:49 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game