Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Bryson Stott
Philadelphia Phillies · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
52
C-
Tonight's Matchup
80
Matchup
Strong matchup
vs Randy Vásquez · RHP · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.23
WHIP
1.14
K%
12%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
89.7
93.3
Barrel%
12.8%
18.2%
Hard Hit%
36%
50%
xwOBA
.351
.606
xSLG
.525
.995
Whiff%
14%
12%
Chase%
29%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Randy Vásquez: 6 PA · Low sample
AB
6
AVG
.166
OPS
.333
HR
0
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.7
Barrel%
12.8%
Hard Hit%
36%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.351
xSLG
0.525
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
65%
17/26 games
AVG
.171
OBP
.216
SLG
.286
OPS
.502
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | San Diego Padres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/20 | Cincinnati Reds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Bryson Stott
Philadelphia Phillies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.8 mph
Avg LA
17.9°
Hard-hit %
38%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
2Double
6Single
15Out
72Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.