Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Cam Schlittler
New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.83 · WHIP 1.05 · K 32% · 11 starts
CAM SCHLITTLER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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CAM
SCHLITTLER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam43%98 mph
Cutter21%95 mph
Sinker21%98 mph
Curveball15%88 mph
Matchup
VS BOS LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.83
WHIP
1.05
K%
32%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 31% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 15.1% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .317 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 6% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 38% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
7.2
K/GM
5.4
IP/GM
2.33
ERA
1.30
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
32% season K rate
Contact Suppression
6% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 2.33 ERA · 32% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs BOS—
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
12 233°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+13%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:43 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.