Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cedric Mullins
Tampa Bay Rays · Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
MG Score
27
F
Tonight's Matchup
vs Jack Flaherty · RHP · 87.9 mph avg
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.19
K%
30%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
83.7
92.8
Barrel%
4.6%
21.4%
Hard Hit%
25%
50%
xwOBA
.246
.369
xSLG
.325
.525
Whiff%
18%
40%
Chase%
26%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Jack Flaherty: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.7
Barrel%
4.6%
Hard Hit%
25%
Sweet Spot%
32%
xwOBA
0.246
xSLG
0.325
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
59%
16/27 games
AVG
.182
OBP
.341
SLG
.242
OPS
.584
HR
0
RBI
2
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | New York Yankees | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | New York Yankees | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Cedric Mullins
Tampa Bay Rays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
82.1 mph
Avg LA
21.2°
Hard-hit %
26%
Barrel %
8%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
1Double
1Single
20Out
75Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.