Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Chandler Simpson
Tampa Bay Rays · Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
MG Score
28
F
Tonight's Matchup
22
Matchup
Avoid
vs Jack Flaherty · RHP · 87.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.19
K%
30%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
84.1
92.8
Barrel%
0.0%
21.4%
Hard Hit%
20%
50%
xwOBA
.259
.369
xSLG
.321
.525
Whiff%
10%
40%
Chase%
28%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Jack Flaherty: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
2
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
84.1
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
20%
Sweet Spot%
25%
xwOBA
0.259
xSLG
0.321
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
64%
16/25 games
AVG
.238
OBP
.273
SLG
.286
OPS
.558
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Baltimore Orioles | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | New York Yankees | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | New York Yankees | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Chandler Simpson
Tampa Bay Rays · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.5 mph
Avg LA
2.3°
Hard-hit %
18%
Barrel %
1%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
2Double
2Single
27Out
69Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.