CHRIS SALE

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

CHRIS

SALE

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam43%97 mph

Slider33%80 mph

Changeup13%89 mph

Sinker11%96 mph

Matchup

VS TEX LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

51

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

2.25

WHIP

1.27

K%

28%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	26%	25%
SwStr%	13.1%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.358	.315
Barrel%-a	8%	8%
HardHit%-a	38%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

6.2

K/GM

5.1

IP/GM

2.13

ERA

1.34

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

28% season K rate

Contact Suppression

8% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 2.13 ERA · 28% K

7

8

8

8

6

6

7

10

3

5

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TEX—

Tonight's Park

HR

+3%

Hits

+2%

2B

-4%

3B

0%

K

+7%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

80°

Wind

5 285°

Rain

100%

HR Adj

-8%

K Adj

-6%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 3:20 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.