Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MLB / Research
COOPER PRATT
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
COOPER
PRATT
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
53
Grade C-
Matchup
VS Trevor Rogers · LHP
89.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
18
VS
ERA
4.26
WHIP
1.07
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 83.9 | 84.0 |
| Barrel% | 3% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 23% | 23% |
| xwOBA | .336 | .331 |
| xSLG | .458 | .490 |
| Whiff% | 10% | 22% |
| Chase% | 32% | 40% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
83.9 avg EV · 3.1% barrel · 23% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rogers—
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
7 89°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-18%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:56 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game