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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

David Fry

Cleveland Guardians · Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians · in lineup

MG Score
31
F

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
84.9
Barrel%
10.3%
Hard Hit%
31%
Sweet Spot%
24%
xwOBA
0.289
xSLG
0.384

Recent Games

Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
20%
2/10 games
Last 20
35%
7/20 games
Last 30
37%
11/30 games
AVG
.136
OBP
.174
SLG
.136
OPS
.310
HR
0
RBI
1
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/30Boston Red Sox1000010
5/26Washington Nationals2000020
5/25Washington Nationals1000010
5/24Philadelphia Phillies3100000
5/22Philadelphia Phillies3200000
5/20Detroit Tigers1000100
5/18Detroit Tigers5000030
5/15Cincinnati Reds2000010
5/13Los Angeles Angels3001010
5/12Los Angeles Angels1000000

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
David Fry
Cleveland Guardians · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
86.3 mph
Avg LA
17.1°
Hard-hit %
35%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (43 balls)
Home Run
3
Triple
0
Double
3
Single
13
Out
24
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.