Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
DAVID HAMILTON
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
DAVID
HAMILTON
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
28
Grade F
Matchup
VS Ryan Feltner · RHP
91.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
67
VS
ERA
5.29
WHIP
1.38
K%
17%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 83.5 | 94.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 36% |
| Hard Hit% | 30% | 73% |
| xwOBA | .259 | .839 |
| xSLG | .332 | 1.531 |
| Whiff% | 16% | 32% |
| Chase% | 25% | 26% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
83.5 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 30% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Feltner0
Tonight's Park
HR
+8%
Hits
-6%
2B
-17%
3B
-9%
K
+11%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:15 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game