DEAN KREMER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

DEAN

KREMER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Splitter33%82 mph

Sinker29%92 mph

Matchup

VS CHC LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

82

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

3.18

WHIP

0.88

K%

31%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	20%	25%
SwStr%	8.9%	11%
Chase%	23%	28%
xwOBA-a	.324	.315
Barrel%-a	6%	8%
HardHit%-a	29%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

6.7

K/GM

5.7

IP/GM

3.18

ERA

0.88

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

31% season K rate

Contact Suppression

6% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 3 starts

0 of 3 starts over

Last 5: 3.18 ERA · 31% K

9

7

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHC—

Tonight's Park

HR

-2%

Hits

+3%

2B

-5%

3B

+32%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

81°

Wind

4 178°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+3%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 2:10 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.