DEAN KREMER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

DEAN

KREMER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam29%93 mph

Splitter26%83 mph

Cutter20%87 mph

Sinker12%92 mph

Curveball12%77 mph

Matchup

VS SD LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

61

Average

projected lineup

VS

ERA

5.40

WHIP

1.18

K%

24%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	23%	25%
SwStr%	10.1%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.330	.315
Barrel%-a	5%	8%
HardHit%-a	33%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.8

K/GM

5.5

IP/GM

6.59

ERA

1.24

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

24% season K rate

Contact Suppression

5% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 6.59 ERA · 21% K

9

7

4

4

5

5

4

2

7

6

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs SD—

Tonight's Park

HR

+5%

Hits

-3%

2B

-4%

3B

-45%

K

+1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

86°

Wind

6 280°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+8%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:01 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.