DUSTIN MAY

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

DUSTIN

MAY

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker31%97 mph

Cutter30%94 mph

4-Seam20%97 mph

Curveball10%85 mph

Matchup

VS LAD LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

5.65

WHIP

1.42

K%

23%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	21%	25%
SwStr%	9.6%	11%
Chase%	23%	28%
xwOBA-a	.509	.315
Barrel%-a	16%	8%
HardHit%-a	38%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

4.4

K/GM

3.4

IP/GM

4.76

ERA

1.29

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

23% season K rate

Contact Suppression

16% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 4.76 ERA · 30% K

5

6

1

4

5

6

4

2

5

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs LAD—

Tonight's Park

HR

+23%

Hits

-3%

2B

-5%

3B

-39%

K

-1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

88°

Wind

4 94°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+12%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 7:23 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.