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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Freddie Freeman

Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

MG Score
67
B-

Tonight's Matchup

vs Michael Soroka · RHP
ERA
1.62
WHIP
0.87
K%
20%
Velo
88.2
Whiff%
10%
xwOBA-a
.215
Career vs Michael Soroka: 4 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
3

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
90.3
Barrel%
16.7%
Hard Hit%
42%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.398
xSLG
0.594

Recent Games

Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
63%
12/19 games
Last 30
63%
12/19 games
AVG
.281
OBP
.439
SLG
.531
OPS
.970
HR
2
RBI
7
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
6/1Arizona Diamondbacks4001000
5/31Philadelphia Phillies3102020
5/30Philadelphia Phillies4100020
5/29Philadelphia Phillies4111000
5/27Colorado Rockies4211000
5/26Colorado Rockies3201110
5/25Colorado Rockies4101010
5/24Milwaukee Brewers3000230
5/23Milwaukee Brewers1100401
5/22Milwaukee Brewers2000220

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Freddie Freeman
Los Angeles Dodgers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
91.5 mph
Avg LA
8.3°
Hard-hit %
47%
Barrel %
28%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
1
Triple
1
Double
7
Single
20
Out
71
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.