Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.85 · WHIP 1.04 · K 29% · 11 starts
GERRIT COLE
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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GERRIT
COLE
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam55%97 mph
Slider19%90 mph
Knuckle-Curve16%84 mph
Changeup10%86 mph
Matchup
VS LAA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
76
VS
ERA
2.85
WHIP
1.04
K%
29%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 22% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.7% | 11% |
| Chase% | 30% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .349 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 6% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 42% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
6.4
K/GM
6.1
IP/GM
2.97
ERA
1.12
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
29% season K rate
Contact Suppression
6% barrel · 42% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 2.97 ERA · 26% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs LAA—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
8 222°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 6:06 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.