Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:03 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Griffin Jax

Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves · Pitcher

ERA 3.93 · WHIP 1.19 · K 28% · 10 starts

Mongoose Bets
GRIFFIN JAX
K@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Griffin Jax
GRIFFIN
JAX
K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker35%95 mph
Matchup
VS ATL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
25
Terrible
projected lineup
VS
ERA
3.93
WHIP
1.19
K%
28%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%19%25%
SwStr%7.9%11%
Chase%29%28%
xwOBA-a.447.315
Barrel%-a7%8%
HardHit%-a64%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
6.0
K/GM
4.9
IP/GM
4.81
ERA
1.40
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
28% season K rate
Contact Suppression
7% barrel · 64% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 4.81 ERA · 28% K
5
7
5
10
3
6
5
10
8
1
Season
Home
Last 5
vs ATL
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
83°
Wind
5 153°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:03 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.