Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
HA-SEONG KIM
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
HA-SEONG
KIM
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP
88.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
63
VS
ERA
6.07
WHIP
1.35
K%
14%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 95.3 | 90.4 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 75% | 39% |
| xwOBA | .398 | .422 |
| xSLG | .496 | .624 |
| Whiff% | 29% | 17% |
| Chase% | 33% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
95.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 75% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Sugano—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
3 122°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:19 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game