Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + NHL + NBA + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JACKSON CHOURIO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JACKSON
CHOURIO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
61
Grade C+
Matchup
VS Tyler Glasnow · RHP
91.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
65
VS
ERA
3.38
WHIP
0.95
K%
35%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 93.6 | 85.6 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 6% |
| Hard Hit% | 64% | 34% |
| xwOBA | .413 | .282 |
| xSLG | .627 | .439 |
| Whiff% | 31% | 33% |
| Chase% | 63% | 28% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.6 avg EV · 9.1% barrel · 64% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Glasnow0
Tonight's Park
HR
+23%
Hits
-3%
2B
-5%
3B
-39%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
88°
Wind
4 94°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:23 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game