Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jackson Kent
Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals vs Texas Rangers · Pitcher
ERA 6.75 · WHIP 2.00 · K 32% · 1 starts

JACKSON KENT
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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JACKSON
KENT
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS TEX LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
45
projected lineup
VS
ERA
6.75
WHIP
2.00
K%
32%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 17% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 5.1% | 11% |
| Chase% | 22% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .390 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 0% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 38% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
6.0
K/GM
4.0
IP/GM
6.75
ERA
2.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
32% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 38% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 1 starts
0 of 1 starts over
Last 5: 6.75 ERA · 32% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs TEX—
Tonight's Park
HR
+15%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
-21%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:15 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
