Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JACKSON MERRILL
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JACKSON
MERRILL
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
61
Grade C+
Matchup
VS Brady Singer · RHP
87.9 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
91
VS
ERA
4.20
WHIP
1.27
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 93.6 | 90.8 |
| Barrel% | 21% | 12% |
| Hard Hit% | 45% | 47% |
| xwOBA | .488 | .382 |
| xSLG | .774 | .536 |
| Whiff% | 28% | 20% |
| Chase% | 41% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.6 avg EV · 21.1% barrel · 45% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Singer0
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
82°
Wind
1 331°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game