Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jo Adell
Los Angeles Angels · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels
MG Score
63
C+
Tonight's Matchup
vs Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP · 88.9 mph avg
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.17
K%
9%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
92.8
94.3
Barrel%
27.8%
12.5%
Hard Hit%
49%
56%
xwOBA
.483
.512
xSLG
.753
.773
Whiff%
26%
10%
Chase%
38%
20%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Tomoyuki Sugano.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
92.8
Barrel%
27.8%
Hard Hit%
49%
Sweet Spot%
42%
xwOBA
0.483
xSLG
0.753
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
52%
11/21 games
AVG
.146
OBP
.146
SLG
.317
OPS
.463
HR
2
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Colorado Rockies | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/30 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Detroit Tigers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Detroit Tigers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Texas Rangers | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jo Adell
Los Angeles Angels · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
92.7 mph
Avg LA
15.2°
Hard-hit %
49%
Barrel %
20%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
7Single
21Out
67Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.