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Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 3:05 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Mongoose Bets
JOEY ORTIZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Joey Ortiz
JOEY
ORTIZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
48
Grade D
Exit Velo85.7Barrel%11%Hard Hit%33%xwOBA.364Sweet Spot%36%Whiff%20%Chase%27%
Matchup
VS Sandy Alcantara · RHP
91.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
54
Average
VS
ERA
4.43
WHIP
1.19
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo85.788.8
Barrel%11%17%
Hard Hit%33%22%
xwOBA.364.395
xSLG.539.636
Whiff%20%21%
Chase%27%35%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
85.7 avg EV · 10.9% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Alcantara0
Tonight's Park
HR
+8%
Hits
-6%
2B
-17%
3B
-9%
K
+11%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game