Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
JONAH COX
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JONAH
COX
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Foster Griffin · LHP
86.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
78
VS
ERA
2.98
WHIP
1.13
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 98.9 | 89.2 |
| Barrel% | 25% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 75% | 43% |
| xwOBA | .539 | .389 |
| xSLG | .815 | .557 |
| Whiff% | 22% | 13% |
| Chase% | 33% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
98.9 avg EV · 25.0% barrel · 75% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Griffin0
Tonight's Park
HR
-17%
Hits
-2%
2B
+14%
3B
-25%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
73°
Wind
5 209°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:15 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game